Case name : EunrcDD 16/03/2015 Version W1.5.1 ________________________________________________________________________________ Results of scoring experts Bayesian Updates: no Weights: equal DM Optimisation: no Significance Level: 0 Calibration Power: 1 ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Nr.| Id |Calibr. |Mean relati|Mean relati|Numb|UnNormalize|Normaliz.we|Normaliz.we | | | total |realizatioo|real|weight |without DM |with DM ______|________|___________|___________|___________|____|___________|___________|___________ 1|Expert1 | 3.063E-005| 0.9411| 0.7044| 14| 2.157E-005| 0.125| 0.0002281 2|Expert2 | 0.5274| 0.3593| 0.1661| 14| 0.08759| 0.125| 0.9263 3|Expert3 | 0.00169| 0.679| 0.41| 14| 0.0006929| 0.125| 0.007328 4|Expert4 | 0.00169| 0.7177| 0.7231| 14| 0.001222| 0.125| 0.01292 5|Expert5 | 2.055E-008| 0.789| 0.7201| 14| 1.48E-008| 0.125| 1.565E-007 6|Expert6 | 0.002202| 1.188| 1.341| 14| 0.002953| 0.125| 0.03123 7|Expert7 | 0.00169| 0.6474| 0.7826| 14| 0.001323| 0.125| 0.01399 8|Expert8 | 0.0008765| 0.9759| 0.5431| 14| 0.000476| 0.125| 0.005034 9|ew | 0.00169| 0.1524| 0.1677| 14| 0.0002834| | 0.002997 10|pwi | 0.659| 0.3266| 0.1626| 14| 0.1072| | 0.5421 11|pwg | 0.659| 0.2429| 0.142| 14| 0.09356| | 0.4994 12|nopt | 0.659| 0.238| 0.1389| 14| 0.09151| | 0.4926 ____________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________ (c) 1989-2012 TU Delft Case name : EunrcDD 16/03/2015 Version W1.5.1 ________________________________________________________________________________ Results of scoring experts Bayesian Updates: no Weights: equal DM Optimisation: no Significance Level: 0 Calibration Power: 1 ____________________________________________________________________________________________ Nr.| Id |Calibr. |Mean relati|Mean relati|Numb|UnNormalize|Normaliz.we|Normaliz.we | | | total |realizatioo|real|weight |without DM |with DM ______|________|___________|___________|___________|____|___________|___________|___________ 1|Expert1 | 3.063E-005| 0.9411| 0.7044| 14| 2.157E-005| 0.125| 0.0002281 2|Expert2 | 0.5274| 0.3593| 0.1661| 14| 0.08759| 0.125| 0.9263 3|Expert3 | 0.00169| 0.679| 0.41| 14| 0.0006929| 0.125| 0.007328 4|Expert4 | 0.00169| 0.7177| 0.7231| 14| 0.001222| 0.125| 0.01292 5|Expert5 | 2.055E-008| 0.789| 0.7201| 14| 1.48E-008| 0.125| 1.565E-007 6|Expert6 | 0.002202| 1.188| 1.341| 14| 0.002953| 0.125| 0.03123 7|Expert7 | 0.00169| 0.6474| 0.7826| 14| 0.001323| 0.125| 0.01399 8|Expert8 | 0.0008765| 0.9759| 0.5431| 14| 0.000476| 0.125| 0.005034 9|ew | 0.00169| 0.1524| 0.1677| 14| 0.0002834| | 0.002997 10|pwi | 0.659| 0.3266| 0.1626| 14| 0.1072| | 0.5421 11|pwg | 0.659| 0.2429| 0.142| 14| 0.09356| | 0.4994 12|nopt | 0.659| 0.238| 0.1389| 14| 0.09151| | 0.4926 ____________________________________________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________________________________ (c) 1989-2012 TU Delft