Short Term Scientific Missions

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The State of the Art in Expert Judgement

TU Delft
July 3rd to 5th, 2017
Conference website

The Action will be holding a final international conference to summarise and reflect on the current state of the art in the use of expert judgement studies within risk and decision analyses.



The State of the Art in Expert Judgement

TU Delft
July 3rd to 5th, 2017

Conference website


The Action will be holding a final international conference to summarise and reflect on the current state of the art in the use of expert judgement studies within risk and decision analyses.



Events

News

STSMs 2016/2017

The action has funded 6 STSMs over the coming months! 

Successful meeting on Project Risk & Asset Management Uncertainty Assessment

October 2016: The Action held a workshop on Project Risk & Asset Management Uncertainty hosted by colleagues at TU Delft

Expert Judgement Workshop, 26th August 2016

An expert judgement workshop is being held at the University of Strathclyde on Friday 26th August!

Short Term Scientific Missions - what are they?

Short-Term Scientific Missions (STSMs) contribute to the scientific objectives of a COST Action by enabling researchers to carry out international research visits. STSMs are intended particularly for early stage researchers, though are open to all.

A scientist fits the definition of “early-stage researcher” if the time between the date of obtaining a PhD degree (or equivalent) and the date of involvement in the COST Action does not exceed 8 years. Doctoral students are also eligible for STSMs.

Call for STSMs 2015

The fourth call for 2015 for Short Term Scientific Missions (STSMs) has now been announced. 

Applications need to be made by 16th October 2015,  with notification of acceptance by 21st October 2015 - these should be made to Ahti Salo ahti.salo@aalto.fi.

More details are here: STSM 4th Call 2015 

Past STSMs

Below is an outline of our past Short-Term Scientific Missions and their key outcomes for 2014:

ParticipantHost Host Institution Topic 
Claudia CeppiProf David RiosUniversidad Rey Juan Carlos, MadridMultivariate extreme models vs Matrix based method: the case of Jiquilisco (El Salvador)
Yrjänä Hynninen
Prof Alec MortonUniversity of Strathclyde, GlasgowResearch Group w/ Prof Alec Morton (Strathclyde), Laura Schang (LSE), Prof Ahti Salo (Aalto) - Examining the decision-making processes in healthcare and how the processes are organised and evaluate with a focus on developing comprehensive performance comparisons of healthcare units.
Christoph WernerDr Anca Hanea & Dr Oswaldo Morales NapolesTU DelftOpportunity for deeper insight into the work which has been carried out at TU Delft in the area of using expert judgement methods for eliciting dependence assessment - this fostered the first contribution to this PhD thesis. 
Ioannis AndreadisDr Wolfgang RudigDepartment of Government, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow Using expert surveys to position political parties
Mart. P. JanssenProf Tim BedfordDepartment of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, GlasgowDevelopment of a methodology for expert opinion in SoHO (Substances of Human Origin) transmission risk assessment

Report: MJanssen
Philip BonannoProf Simon FrenchUniversity of Warwick, UKDeveloping a training curse in Moodle about Structured Expert Judgement 

Report: PBonanno

Ozlem KarsuProf Alec Morton  Department of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, GlasgowThe research topic that is explored during the mission aims to improve the decision making process of (health care) policy makers, by using systematic decision support, which explicitly handles (multi-dimensional) equity concerns and which uses expert judgement whenever necessary throughout the decision process.

Report: OKarsu


Michele CompareProf Ahti SaloSystems Analysis Laboratory of Aalto University School of Science, FinlandA fundamental outcome of engineering risk analysis is the identification of risk reduction measures to be installed throughout the system, which seek to curtail the occurrence and impact of accident scenarios. In this context, the research issue of interest is to develop a methodology to establish sound quantification processes in order to characterize, on rational basis, the magnitude of risks for personnel, environment, or continuity of business operations after the implementation of risk mitigation measures.

Report: MCompare

Patricia Vella BonannoProf Alec MortonDepartment of Management Science, University of Strathclyde, GlasgowThis STSM followed from the meeting of the COST Action IS1304 which was held in Malta in October 2015. The theme of the COST Action meeting in Malta was the application of expert judgement in health care. An idea which emerged from the meeting in Malta is the importance of the role of expert judgement in the policy and decisions required to secure early access to medicines. Early access initiatives often involve evaluation of new medicinal products before conclusive evidence about their effectiveness and benefit/risk is established, leading to conditional approval and possibly the transfer of additional risk to the post-authorisation phase.

Report: PVBonanno