Expert Judgement Workshop Presentations

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    The State of the Art in Expert Judgement

    TU Delft
    July 3rd to 5th, 2017
    Conference website

    The Action will be holding a final international conference to summarise and reflect on the current state of the art in the use of expert judgement studies within risk and decision analyses.



    The State of the Art in Expert Judgement

    TU Delft
    July 3rd to 5th, 2017

    Conference website


    The Action will be holding a final international conference to summarise and reflect on the current state of the art in the use of expert judgement studies within risk and decision analyses.



    Events

    News

    STSMs 2016/2017

    The action has funded 6 STSMs over the coming months! 

    Successful meeting on Project Risk & Asset Management Uncertainty Assessment

    October 2016: The Action held a workshop on Project Risk & Asset Management Uncertainty hosted by colleagues at TU Delft

    Expert Judgement Workshop, 26th August 2016

    An expert judgement workshop is being held at the University of Strathclyde on Friday 26th August!

    Expert Judgement Workshop - Glasgow, 2015

    Presenter Link to Presentation Slides 
    Paul GarthwaiteElicitation of Opinion about Multinomial Models

    Daniel Williamson Is is possible to be a subjective Bayesian when working on 21st century problems?
    Ahmed H. ElSheikhMachine learning approaches to rare event sampling, applications to CO2 leakage estimation

    Kevin WilsonExpert judgement informed sequencing of reliability growth tasks

    Jim Q. SmithStructuring probabilistic judgements for integrating decision support systems group inference, coherence and causality

    Ken McNaughtSupporting the elicitation of engineering knowledge for reliability and maintenance modelling

    Roger CookeProgress with out of sample validation

    Luis DiasModelling consumer preferences with an additive value function: an experimental study