Expert judgement for geographical and adversarial problems

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    STSMs 2016/2017

    The action has funded 6 STSMs over the coming months! 

    Successful meeting on Project Risk & Asset Management Uncertainty Assessment

    October 2016: The Action held a workshop on Project Risk & Asset Management Uncertainty hosted by colleagues at TU Delft

    Expert Judgement Workshop, 26th August 2016

    An expert judgement workshop is being held at the University of Strathclyde on Friday 26th August!

    Expert judgement for geographical and adversarial problems

    Day 1

    Welcome. Tim Bedford, Manuel de León (ICMAT Director)

    Tim Bedford. Expert Judgement: context and methodology

    Simon French:  Geographical Uncertainty: why it is difficult to present and judge

    Matthew Hort. Uncertainty in meteorology and dispersion 

    Stephanie Haywood. Mapping radon in UK

    Vesela Radovic. How uncertainty shapes flood emergency management policy 

    Day 2

    Workshop on Geographical Uncertainty: Run by Simon French, Stephanie Haywood and Matt Hort

    Einar Snekkenes. Cyber security risk management in a behavioural economics perspective

    Eva Chen. Good Judgement Project: How to win a geo-political forecasting tournament

    Jesus Rios. Adversarial Risk Analysis for Urban Security

    Nicole Van Elst. Concept Development Assessment Games, description use and some examples

    Day 3

    Rafael Ausejo. Predictive policing for law enforcement

    Kristof Vanooteghem. Cyberinsurance

    Ken McNaught. Adversarial Risk Analysis and Deception

    Luca Podofillini. Bayesian Belief Networks and human error quantification - applications and gaps

    Jamie Walker. Challenges in the elicitation and analysis of contentious estimates in the field of large scale nuclear decommissioning programmes