Expert judgement for geographical and adversarial problems

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The action has funded 6 STSMs over the coming months!

October 2016: The Action held a workshop on Project Risk & Asset Management Uncertainty hosted by colleagues at TU Delft

An expert judgement workshop is being held at the University of Strathclyde on Friday 26th August!

Day 1

Welcome. Tim Bedford, Manuel de León (ICMAT Director)

Tim Bedford. Expert Judgement: context and methodology

Simon French: Geographical Uncertainty: why it is difficult to present and judge

Matthew Hort. Uncertainty in meteorology and dispersion

Stephanie Haywood. Mapping radon in UK

Vesela Radovic. How uncertainty shapes flood emergency management policy

Day 2

Workshop on Geographical Uncertainty: Run by Simon French, Stephanie Haywood and Matt Hort

Einar Snekkenes. Cyber security risk management in a behavioural economics perspective

Eva Chen. Good Judgement Project: How to win a geo-political forecasting tournament

Jesus Rios. Adversarial Risk Analysis for Urban Security

Nicole Van Elst. Concept Development Assessment Games, description use and some examples

Day 3

Rafael Ausejo. Predictive policing for law enforcement

Ken McNaught. Adversarial Risk Analysis and Deception

Luca Podofillini. Bayesian Belief Networks and human error quantification - applications and gaps

Jamie Walker. Challenges in the elicitation and analysis of contentious estimates in the field of large scale nuclear decommissioning programmes

COST